Coronavirus Pandemic and Changing of Global Politics

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Some scholars view that corona virus pandemic has influence the way global politics on process. The changes would be in interaction among countries, organization and even people. Countries’ s border as can be seen nowadays already in very tight supervision. One of implication of border issues is no regular flight in and out in easy way.

Transportation is one field which already felt it. Several airlines in the world even the most profitable one should adjust the new situation. After five month since January when covid-19 was still in China, some airlines has talked on reducing its staff. Some airline companies has grounded most of its air fleet.

Other implication of Covid-19 is related to economic situation at almost all countries. As transportation restriction become common in the world, goods traffic are also on halted. Export and import of manufacturing good except essential one like food and medicine might decline more than 50%. It means that export countries could send their product and in same time importing country could received regular product.

In one side, relations among countries mostly depend on importance of issues and needed. Political issues among countries might in less important compare to survival measures in every countries to keep Covid-19 contained and to make people secure. It could be solidarity in the world in raised compare to conflict mood.

However, one of prediction of Covid-19 is the raising of China in world scene. The China – origin of Covid-19 – in very short time could contain and recover from the disease. At least the China’s decisive responses to the pandemic has gave the country ability to maneuver in the world. For example, global diplomacy of China has helped it to establish image as strong and capable country. In this particular situation, China seems be viewed as winner one compare with US, for example. ***

Random scenarios for Ukraine War

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What is look like the outcome of the war in Ukraine? Here are some scenarios based on ongoing events.

Firstly, Ukraine will be occupied by Russia this year

Secondly, Ukraine become puppet government ruled by Russian

Thirdly, a long war without a clear winner due to Western proxy intervention like in Syria

Fourthly, Ukraine sign a peace agreement with Russia with unfair conditions for Ukraine

Finally, Ukraine become a winner with a heavy loss

Detail of these scenarios will be presented in short time

Omicron di Inggris

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Varian omicron telah menjadi perhatian dunia setidaknya dalam sebulan terakhir. Di Inggris catatan terakhir bahwa seminggu terakhir rata-rata bertambah sekitar 130 ribu orang terkena COVID-19 varian Omicron. Varian ini telah membuat pusing pemimpin negeri ini termasuk PM Boris Johnson. Pantauan dari London dalam tujuh hari terakhir ini telah 914.723 telah positif COVID-19. Lalu apa yang terjadi dan apa kebijakannya.

Penyebaran dengan cepat varian Omicron ini diduga ada kaitan dengan pandangan masyarakat bahwa COVID-19 ini merupakan flu berat biasa bukan sesuatu yang dapat mengancam jiwa. Masyarakat yang terkena COVID-19 ini cukup isolasi mandiri di rumah selama sekitar 10 harian dan tidak boleh bertemu secara fisik dengan siapapun, apalagi keluar rumah. Omicron sudah dianggap sebagau flu biasa yang memerlukan penguatan stamina saja dengan suplement.

Dugaan lainnya, dalam beberapa minggu terakhir ini PM Johnson berbicara kepada publik perlunya kembali menggunakan masker di area publik seperti di mall, transportasi publik, perkantoran dan restoran. Namun kenyataannya banyak anggota masyarakat dengan bebasnya tidak menggunakan masker dan tidak ada ketegasan dari aparat.

Musim dingin juga diduga ada hubungan cepatnya penyebaran COVID-19. Oleh karena itulah maka ada imbauan agar pesta akhir Tahun 2021 dikurangi aktivitasnya. Namun sejauh ini tidak ada larangan berkumpul apalagi lockdown.

Dengan kebijakan pemerintah Inggris yang gamang disertai dengan bebasnya masyarakat berinteraksi tanpa ada denda atau pengawasan seperti terjadi pada akhir tahun lalu, maka dapat diperkirakan jumlah positif COVID-19 di Inggris akan terus bertambah. Penambahan ini tidak ditanggapi serius karena dianggap sebagai flu berat biasa.