Theory and Evidence

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Mark Irving LichbachIn their debate on neopositivism, while Kratocwil danced with relativism,Pollins stressed the value of positivism to qualitative researchers, andHopf recognized the importance of making interpretations more rigorous.Listening to their stimulating debate, Chernoff tried to clarify thenature of naturalism, and Waldner probed the idea of causal mechanisms.Trying to understand the implications of the debate for social sciencepractice, Lawrence subjected the empirical claims of the democratic peaceliterature, and Levy international relations research programs morebroadly, to scrutiny. Bernstein, Lebow, Stein, and Weber summarize and extend these analysesby making a plea for case-based reasoning. We need to understandthese debates in terms of three principles of the traditional positivist philosophy of science.1. Theory is deductive-nomological: it begins as abstract, axiomatic,and foundational; it becomes subsuming, integrating, and unifying;and it ends as organized, comprehensive, and encyclopedic.2. Evidence is oriented toward falsification: scientists attempt to reject ahypothesis; after one possible explanan is discarded, they investigateanother to see if it can account for the explanandum.3. Evaluation is therefore based on deductive and nomological lawsthat resist falsification: these laws establish the ever-expandingdomain of a theory; science therefore succeeds when it discoversuniversal laws that are true.This philosophy of science might have suited social scientists a few decades ago. Today’s more modest philosophy of science that consists instead of three different principles.1. Theory consists of research programs that contain nuts and bolts;these causal mechanisms are combined into models of a theory thatsuggest lawful regularities.2. Evidence establishes the applicability of these models of a theory forthe models of data that exist in particular domains; the elaborationof a theory thus delimits the theory’s scope.3. Evaluation grapples with the problem that the science that resultsfrom following the first two principles is prone to nonfalsifiabilityand to self-serving confirmations. Confrontations between theoryand evidence are thus evaluated in the context of larger structures ofknowledge.This final chapter moves the debate (Lichbach 2004) forward by dealingwith the problem of evaluation. For pragmatists who work with a thin version of one paradigm, Lakatos’s (1970) “additional and true” standard, which lets them explore rationalist, culturalist, and structuralist approaches on their own terms, is applied. For competitors who employ alternative paradigms, Popper’s (1968) “different and better” standard, which lets them conduct competitive evaluations among alternative rationalist, culturalist, and structuralist explanations, is employed. And for hegemons who synthesize the different paradigms into one thick paradigm,“ nested models” that combine the two standards, and thus lets them compare syntheses to their components (models and foils), is used.Source: Theory and Evidence in Comparative Politics and International Relations Edited by Richard Ned Lebow and Mark Irving Lichbach, 2007.

To do list manager

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nextyDaftar kegiatan setiap hari mulai dari yang penting sampai yang tidak penting dan bisa ditunda merupakan sebuah keharusan bagi seorang manager atau pekerja atau aktivis.Daftar ini akan memudahkan orang mengurutkan dan memberikan prioritas setiap hari, minggu, bulan atau bahkan tahunan. Apa yang direncanakan tahunan kemudian dirinci menjadi bulanan, mingguan dan harian.Dengan To Do List Manager dari Nexty kita bisa mengontrol apa yang belum dan apa yang sudah serta bagaimana langkah berikutnya.Nexty akan memberikan ruang untuk mengatur kegiatan selanjutnya.Gagasan mengenai to do list manager ini akrab dengan buku David AllenGetting Things Done: The Art of Stress-Free Productivity.Sebenarnya kegiatan itu bisa dibagi beberapa bagian seperti business, family dan personal development. Dari beberapa segmen ini bisa dibagi lagi menjadi lebih detil.Semuanya bisa dilakukan kalau kita berminat menggunakan Nexty. Tentu saja Nexty bukanlah satu-satunya to do list manager yang ada secara online.Google dan Yahoo juga memberikan akun lengkap mulai dari email, dokumen dan juga kolaborasi.

Blog Pepih Nugraha

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Nama Pepih Nugraha identik dengan Kompasiana. Ketika peluncuran BBCIndonesia.com saya bertemu sahabat lama di Kompas. Pepih tampaknya sudah mantap di dunia blogger dengan mengasuh sebuah komunitas blog.Diam-diam Pepih sudah memiliki blog sendiri yang berawal dari 2009.Sayang tidak banyak diperbarui lagi.Silahkan cek di Pepih NugrahaSebelumnya saya sudah menyimpannya dengan alamat Pepih Nugraha di blogspot.Sehari-hari Pepih aktif di blog Kompasiana silahkan simak saja di sini.Dunia berkembang cepat dan blog juga sudah menjadi bendera siapapun yang eksis. Blog adalah medium perpanjangan dari eksistensi manusia. Blog ada sebuah kultur baru yang jika diikuti bisa menghidupkan jiwa yang kering dan mengisi dengan oase ilmu dan keberkahan. Pada satu sisi menulis di blog sebuah rasa syukur akan perjalanan kita menuju titik akhir kehidupan.